XRP realized profit to loss ratio on the 90-day SMA has collapsed to 0.38, meaning loss realization now outpaces profit-taking by more than 2-to-1.

At the 2025 peak the same metric reached 50, showing profit-takers dominated loss-sellers by a factor of 50x before the dynamic fully inverted. Network fees have also contracted 91.5 percent from 5.9k XRP in February 2025 to just 0.5k today, confirming a near-total drop in organic transaction demand since the speculative top.

Price action on the 4-hour chart places XRP at $1.14 inside the Bollinger Bands, with the upper resistance at $1.2 capping upside while the EMA50 at $1.18 functions as concrete overhead resistance in the bearish trend structure defined by the EMA200 at $1.3. The neutral RSI at 45.3 paired with the MACD golden cross at -0.0 suggests any push toward the upper band will likely meet exhaustion and retrace toward the EMA50 support before continuation.